Comparison worldwide and Ukrainian practice of bank stress testing


Keywords: financial stability, Basel III, core capital, regulatory capital

Abstract

Early stress tests, used primarily as risk management tools, date back as far as the 1990s. Programs conducted by the IMF, Bank of England, Dodd-Frank Act, Bank of Japan, Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority and the World Bank promoted the used of stress tests. The basic idea the introduction of stress testing was to ensure that banks have sufficient capital to cover their risks, and to ensure that banks and banking systems are more resilient to economic and financial shocks. This paper provides an overview of the recent implementation of stress testing by regulatory agencies in the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Switzerland and the European Union. This article also gives an overview of the stress testing methodology developed by the National Bank of Ukraine and in accordance with Basel III recommendations. The aim of research is comparative evaluation of key aspects of system-wide stress tests in different finance systems: Euro area, United Kingdom, Switzerland, Japan, the United States and Ukraine, identifying identification of similarities and differences and prospects for the development in our country. To substantiate the theoretical positions and reasoning of the conclusions general scientific methods are used, including system, abstract-logical approach, as well as methods of formalization, analysis and synthesis of information, comparative analysis. During the study, a comparative analysis of the stress-testing methodology in six countries was conducted.  The scientific importance of the work lies in the fact that on the basis of the conducted research it is possible to improve stress-testing of Ukrainian banking system based on best practices from developed countries. The value of the research is that it is increasingly necessary to used best practices of stress tests as a powerful tool in risk management, in micro prudential and macroprudential policies. Results of researches can to used not only in development methodology of stress-testing, but also in case-study of banking.

JEL Classification: E37, E44, G10, G21, G28

Author Biographies

Andrii Ramskyi, Boris Grinchenko University, Kyiv, Ukraine

Doctor of Economical Sciences, Professor, Head of the Department of Finance and Economics, Boris Grinchenko University

Olena Sobolieva-Tereshchenko, Boris Grinchenko University, Kyiv, Ukraine

PhD in Economics, Senior Lecturer, Associate Professor of the Department of Finance and Economics, Boris Grinchenko University

Valeriia Zharnikova, Kyiv National University of Trade and Economics, Kyiv, Ukraine

Postgraduate Student, Assistant Lecturer of the Department of Accounting and Taxation, Kyiv National University of Trade and Economics

References

Bank for International Settlements (2009), “Principles for sound stress testing practices and supervision”, available at: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs155.pdf (Accessed 07 October 2019).

Bank of England (2017), “Stress testing the UK banking system: 2017 results”, available at: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/stress-testing/2017/stress-testing-the-uk-banking-system-2017-results (Accessed 07 October 2019).

Bank of Japan (2017), “Macro stress testing in the financial system report”, available at: https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/brp/fsr/data/fsrb170421a.pdf (Accessed 07 October 2019).

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2011), “Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems”, available at: https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.htm (Accessed 07 October 2019).

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2016), “Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test 2016: Supervisory Stress Test Methodology and Results”, [Online], (in English), available at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/bcreg20160623a1.pdf (Accessed 07 October 2019).

Breuer, T., Jandacka, M., Mencia, J. and Summer, M. (2010), “A Systematic Approach to Multi-Period Stress Testing of Portfolio Credit Risk”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 2, Issue 36, pp. 332-340, available at: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1626759 (Accessed 07 October 2019), DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1626759.

Decree of Board Of National Bank Of Ukraine (2017), “On approval of Regulation on carrying out of assessment of stability of banks and banking system of Ukraine”, available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/v0141500-17 (accessed 07 October 2019), (in Ukrainian).

Frame, W. S., Gerardi, K. and Willen, P. (2015), “The Failure of Supervisory Stress Testing: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and OFHEO”, SSRN Electronic Journal, FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2015-3, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2637090 (Accessed 07 October 2019), DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2637090.

Hirtle, B. and others (2016), “Assessing financial stability: The Capital and Loss Assessment under Stress Scenarios (CLASS) model”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 69, pp. S35-S55, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.09.021 (Accessed 07 October 2019), DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.09.021.

Kapinos, P. S., Mitnik, O. A. and Martin, C. A. (2015), "Stress Testing Banks: Whence and Whither?”, SSRN Electronic Journal, FDIC Center for Financial Research Paper No. 2015-07, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2710846 (Accessed 07 October 2019), DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2710846.

Krykliy, O. and others (2018), “Model of Stress-testing of Banks’ Liquidity Risk in Ukraine”, Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, Vol. 2, Issue 2, pp.123-132, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.21272/fmir.2(2).123-132.2018 (Accessed 08 October 2019), DOI: 10.21272/fmir.2(2).123-132.2018.

National Bank of Ukraine (2019), “Description of stress testing banks in 2019”, available at: https://old.bank.gov.ua/control/uk/publish/article?art_id=89024933 (Accessed 07 October 2019), (in Ukrainian).

Posohov, I. M. and Khodyrieva, O. O. (2018), “Stress-testing as the actual tool of risk management in the modern banking system of Ukraine”, Financial and credit activity: problems of theory and practice, Vol. 1, Issue 24, pp.53-62, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v1i24.127803 (Accessed 08 October 2019), (in Ukrainian), DOI: 10.18371/fcaptp.v1i24.127803.

Ramskyi, A., Loiko, V., Sobolieva-Tereshchenko, O., Loiko, D., and Zharnikova, V. (2017), “Integration of Ukraine into the European banking system: cleaning, rebooting and Basel III”, Journal of Banks and Bank Systems, Vol. 12, Issue 4, pp. 163-174, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.12(4-1).2017.05 (Accessed 07 October 2019), DOI: 10.21511/bbs.12(4-1).2017.05.

Wall, L. D. (2013), “Measuring Capital Adequacy Supervisory Stress Tests in a Basel World”, SSRN Electronic Journal, FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2013-15, available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2579897 (Accessed 08 October 2019), DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2579897.
Published
2019-12-30
How to Cite
Ramskyi, A., Sobolieva-Tereshchenko, O. and Zharnikova, V. (2019) “Comparison worldwide and Ukrainian practice of bank stress testing”, Management and Entrepreneurship: Trends of Development, 4(10), pp. 19-28. doi: https://doi.org/10.26661/2522-1566/2019-4/10-02.